| Your Call: Previous Polls | ||
|---|---|---|
| January 5–17, 2005 | Will the stock market's performance in the first week of January set the tone for the whole year? |
Yes: 891 (25%) First-half 2720: No (75%) Total: 3611 |
| December 28–January 4, 2005 | At what level will the Dow Jones industrial average end 2005? |
Higher than 2004 close: 1812 (66%) Near 2004 close: 471 (17%) Lower than 2004 close: 479 (17%) Total: 2762 |
| December 21–27, 2004 | How will North American retail sales perform in December when final tallies are done? |
Up 5% or more: 515 (17%) Up 3 to 5%: 894 (30%) Up less than 3%: 1315 (43%) Decline: 310 (10%) Total: 3034 |
| December 14–20, 2004 | How will the removal of CEO Paul Tellier affect Bombardier Inc.'s turnaround prospects? |
Improve them: 1221 (26%) Have no effect: 1352 (29%) Worsen them: 2148 (45%) Total: 4721 |
| November 30–December 13, 2004 | Have crude-oil prices already hit their highs (over $55 U.S.) for the winter season, or will they beat that? |
Yes — they'll stay in current range: 2723 (47%) Yes — they'll fall below $40: 1816 (31%) No, they'll top $55 this winter: 1228 (21%) Total: 5767 |
| November 23–November 29, 2004 | How well will global equities perform in 2005? |
Outperform 2004: 1512 (40%) Match 2004: 1005 (27%) Underperform 2004: 1245 (33%) Total: 3764 |
| November 9–November 22, 2004 | With U.S. inflation rising, how high will the Fed raise rates in the next year? |
2.25% to 2.5%: 647 (34%) 2.75% to 3%: 656 (35%) 3.25% to 3.5%: 341 (18%) Higher: 240 (13%) Total: 1884 |
| October 26–November 8, 2004 | With the U.S. Federal Reserve expected to raise rates by a quarter point to 2% on Nov. 10, what will the Fed do on Dec. 14? |
Raise by a quarter-point: 1572 (45%) Stand pat: 1801 (52%) Cut by a quarter-point: 103 (3%) Total: 3476 |
| October 19–25, 2004 | Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, what will most influence stock prices? |
Earnings?: 1159 (33%) U.S. election?: 958 (28%) Oil prices?: 1348 (39%) Total: 3465 |
| October 12–18, 2004 | With oil at record highs, when will the global economy start to slow down? |
Before year-end: 864 (25%) First-half 2005: 1310 (37%) Second-half 2005: 477 (14%) Later, if at all: 835 (24%) Total: 3486 |
| September 28–October 11, 2004 | Will shares of Air Canada's new holding company, ACE Aviation, end the week above or below the $20 issue price? |
Above: 1185 (38%) Unchanged 246 (8%) Below: 1711 (54%) Total: 3142 |
| September 21–27, 2004 | What company do you predict will own Microcell a year from now? |
Rogers Wireless: 1425 (58%) Telus: 498 (20%) Bell Mobility: 408 (17%) Other: 132 (5%) Total: 2463 |
| September 14–20, 2004 | With profit and sales warnings accelerating, and markets still rising, are investors missing something? |
Yes, stocks will fall: 910 (34%) At current levels: 502 (19%) Lower: 1244 (47%) Total: 2656 |
| September 7–13, 2004 | Given that major market indexes have been rising lately, where will they end 2004? |
Higher: 1411 (61%) At current levels: 547 (24%) Lower: 358 (15%) Total: 2316 |
| September 1–6, 2004 | With the U.S. Republican Party convention under way in New York, stocks will: |
Rise: 541 (22%) Trade flat: 1470 (59%) Fall: 490 (19%) Total: 2501 |
| August 24– 30, 2004 | Should the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board be limited to making 'socially responsible' investments? |
Always: 506 (15%) Often: 618 (18%) Rarely: 686 (20%) Never: 1657 (47%) Total: 3467 |
| August 17–23, 2004 | The current stock market slump has: |
Underestimated the outlook for earnings: 971 (44%) Overestimated the outlook for earnings: 589 (26%) Accurately priced-in the outlook for earnings: 664 (30%) Total: 2224 |
| August 10– 16, 2004 | The Federal Reserve has three more policy-setting dates scheduled this year. How many more times will it raise interest rates? |
None: 506 (22%) Once: 941 (42%) Twice: 542 (24%) Three times: 282 (12%) Total: 2269 |
| August 3–9, 2004 | What are the chances a terrorist incident in the U.S. will disrupt markets in 2004? |
Less than 10%: 1988 (37%) Less than 30%: 1105 (21%) Even: 50%: 1318 (25%) Greater than 70%: 555(10%) Greater than 90%: 404(7%) Total: 5370 |
| July 27–August 2, 2004 | Is Google's IPO price range of $108 to $135 a share |
too expensive?: 3828 (94%) fairly valued?: 176 (4%) underpriced?: 100 (2%) Total: 4104 |
| July 20–26, 2004 | Which of the following sectors will perform best in this earnings season? |
Technology?: 327 (10%) Financials?: 560 (17%) Energy?: 1866 (57%) Raw materials?: 533 (16%) Total: 3286 |
| June 29–July 19, 2004 | Will Q2 earnings be strong enough to reignite the stock rally? |
Stocks are headed higher: 1128 (35%) Stocks will decline: 635 (20%) Stocks will trade sideways: 1416 (45%) Total: 3179 |
| June 22–28, 2004 | Is the Ontario Securities Commission doing enough to maintain the transparency of mutual-fund trading in Canada? |
Yes, completely: 166 (7%) Only to some extent: 655 (26%) No, not at all: 1651 (67%) Total: 2472 |
| June 15–21, 2004 | U.S. retail sales rebounded in May for a 1.2% increase over April. What's your prediction for June? |
Higher than May: 754 (43%) Little change: 673 (38%) Lower than May: 344 (19%) Total: 1777 |
| June 8–14, 2004 | From an investor's standpoint, should governments cut business subsidies, taxes, or both equally? |
Cut subsidies: 965 (28%) Cut taxes: 682 (20%) Cut both equally: 1800 (52%) Total: 3447 |
| June 1–7, 2004 | Should the U.S. release some of its Strategic Petroleum Reserve to try to curb oil prices? |
Yes: 1307 (35%) Maybe: 302 (8%) No: 2156 (57%) Total: 3765 |
| May 25–31, 2004 | What effect would a federal minority government have on Canada's economy? |
Expansion: 591 (17%) Shrinkage: 1101 (32%) No change: 1729 (51%) Total: 3421 |
| May 18–24, 2004 | How long will oil prices stay above $40 (U.S.) a barrel? |
Six months or less: 2811 (52%) One year or less: 956 (18%) Two years or less: 319 (6%) More than two years: 1298 (24%) Total: 5384 |
| May 11–17, 2004 | Have the markets fully priced in interest rate increases for 2004? |
Yes: 1757 (50%) Only to some extent: 1292 (36%) No, not at all: 494 (14%) Total: 3543 |
| May 4–10, 2004 | What will be the best-performing asset class during the second half of the year? |
Stocks: 3187 (62%) Income trusts: 1259 (25%) Government bonds: 269 (5%) Corporate bonds: 420 (8%) Total: 5135 |
| April 27–May 3, 2004 | Will the Google initial public share offering start a new wave of tech IPOs? |
Yes: 990 (28%) Maybe: 873 (24%) No: 1686 (48%) Total: 3549 |
| April 20–April 26, 2004 | Will positive earnings reports in the next few weeks keep share prices rising, given the threat of higher interest rates? |
Yes: 1833 (55%) Maybe: 737 (22%) No: 788 (23%) Total: 3358 |
| April 13–April 19, 2004 | Will Canada's energy- and commodity-rich S&P/TSX composite index outperform the S&P 500 in the second quarter? |
Yes: 2577 (70%) Maybe: 527 (14%) No: No 575 (16%) Total: 3679 |
| April 6–12, 2004 | With markets rising and earnings season about to start, have stock prices already overshot the outlook for 2004 earnings? |
Yes, they're too expensive: 1435 (33%) No, they are fairly priced: 1100 (26%) No, they have room to rise: 1788 (41%) Total: 4323 |
| April 3–5, 2004 | The U.S. economy produced a surprise 308,000 jobs in March. Is it a trend? |
Yes, there will be more: 537 (36%) Maybe: 409 (27%) No, it's a blip: 551 (37%) Total: 1497 |
| March 30–April 2, 2004 | U.S. figures are expected to show Friday that the economy added 110,000 jobs in March. Will the results: |
Beat expectations?: 533 (19%) Roughly match??: 684 (24%) Fall short?: 1652 (57%) Total: 2869 |
| March 23–29, 2004 | With earnings pre-announcements expected to start soon, will there be: |
More negative warnings?: 787 (24%) More raised forecasts?: 1210 (37%) An even split?: 1255 (39%) Total: 3252 |
| March 16–22, 2004 | Given Nortel Networks Corp.'s most recent revelations, is it time for investors to get out? |
Yes: 3691 (46%) No: 3238 (40%) Maybe: 1077 (14%) Total: 8006 |
| March 9–15, 2004 | How should Martha Stewart be punished? |
A small fine: 1413 (13%) A significant fine?: 3464 (33%) Less than a year in jail: 1549 (15%) A year or more in jail: 1682 (16%) Two years or more in jail: 2454 (23%) Total: 10562 |
| March 4–8, 2004 | What should the Bank of Canada do with interest rates on April 13? |
Cut by a quarter point to 2%: 2364 (51%) Leave them unchanged: 1837 (39%) Raise by a quarter point: 459 (10) Total: 4660 |
| March 2–3, 2004 | For the first time in years, analysts were upbeat about RRSP-season mutual fund sales ending March 1. What's your prediction for the final sales figure? |
Slightly higher than last year's $485-million? 820 (47%) Double last year?: 654 (37%) Triple last year?: 248 (14%) Total: 1722 |
| February 24–March 1, 2004 | Some forecasters say oil will reach $100 a barrel by 2008. What's your forecast for the end of this year? |
$26 to $28 a barrel: 958 (13%) $29 to $32 a barrel: 2284 (32%) $33 a barrel or higher: 3879 (54%) Total: 7121 |
| February 17–23, 2004 | With the Canadian tech sector up 40% YTD, have stock prices already overshot the outlook for 2004 earnings? |
Yes, they're too expensive: 2450 (54%) No, they are fairly priced: 799 (17%) No, they have room to climb: 1319 (29%) Total: 4568 |
| February 10–16, 2004 | In the absence of new tax cuts, will the U.S. consumer |
Continue to spend as employment picks up?: 1087 (34%) Overvalued: 939 (30%) Fairly valued: 1117 (36%) Total: 3143 |
| February 3–9, 2004 | Looking ahead to Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report, will it |
Confirm an employment recovery?: 545 (26%) Show U.S. employment stalled?: 862 (41%) Give no clear indications?: 689 (33%) Total: 2096 |
| January 27–February 2, 2004 | Do share prices already reflect the better-than-expected earnings seen so far, or will they rise? |
Shares will rise: 2798 (55%) We're there: 1314 (26%) Shares will fall: 935 (19%) Total: 5047 |
| January 20–January 26, 2004 | What are the chances Conrad Black will regain his status as a media baron? |
Zero: 4540 (79%) Fair: 776 (13%) Good: 434 (8%) Total: 5750 |
| January 13–January 19, 2004 | What are the chances the U.S. will tighten its borders enough to hurt Canadian exporters this year? |
Sure thing: 1639 (36%) It's possible: 1919 (42%) Won't happen: 994 (22%) Total: 4552 |
| January 6–January 12, 2004 | Are gold stocks fairly valued relative to the outlook for earnings and higher bullion prices: |
Undervalued:1230 (31%) Overvalued: 1555 (40%) Fairly valued: 1125 (29%) Total: 3910 |
| December 30, 2003–January 5, 2004 | Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average's performance in 2004 beat, match, or fall short of 2003? |
Beat: 1673 (44%) Match: 663 (17%) Fall short: 1472 (39%) Total: 3808 |
| December 23–29, 2003 | With the U.S. market for initial public offerings rebounding in the fourth quarter, what's the outlook for 2004? |
Strong growth: 1069 (45%) Little change: 735 (32%) Bubble will burst: 528 (23%) Total: 2332 |
| December 16–22, 2003 | With tepid economic growth expected in Canada next year and a stronger dollar, will the Bank of Canada |
Cut rates by 50 basis points?: 1078 (28%) Cut rates by 25 basis points?: 1445 (37%) Leave rates unchanged?: 1352 (35%) Total: 3875 |
| December 9–15, 2003 | Merrill Lynch argues the strong Canadian dollar will outweigh any benefits that higher oil prices may bring to shares of oil producers in 2004. Your view? |
Agree: 1396 (47%) Disagree: 1586 (53%) Total: 2982 |
| December 2–8, 2003 | How well do the share prices of big U.S. retailers reflect the outlook for December sales? |
Prices are too high: 926 (52%) Prices are too low: 293 (16%) Prices are accurate: 581 (32%) Total: 1800 |
| November 25–December 1, 2003 | Canadian retail sales plunged in September. What's your prediction for October? |
Sales will rise: 1792 (61%) Sales will fall: 541 (18%) No change: 620 (21%) Total: 2953 |
| November 18–24, 2003 | Will Paul Martin as Canada's new prime minister |
Help the economy?: 3984 (67%) Hurt the economy?: 278 (5%) Make no difference?: 1676 (28%) Total: 5938 |
| November 11–17, 2003 | What should Canada do to calm investor concern about possible mutual fund abuses? |
Nothing: 199 (6%) Let regulators check informally: 550 (18%) Appoint a commission of inquiry: 853 (27%) Appoint someone like Eliot Spitzer: 1512 (49%) Total: 3114 |
| November 4–10, 2003 | With Q3 earnings in and slower economic growth forecast, how will major indexes perform for the rest of the year? |
They'll fall: 522 (20%) They'll stay about even: 915 (33%) They'll rise: 1329 (48%) Total: 2766 |
| October 24–November 3, 2003 | How long can the boom in third-quarter U.S. economic growth be sustained? |
Through the fourth quarter: 427 (14%) Through Q1 2004: 709 (24%) Through the first half: 1022 (34%) Growth has already slowed from Q3: 859 (28%) Total: 3017 |
| October 21–23, 2003 | You've heard how scary this month can be. At the end of October, will the Dow be higher or lower than at the end of September (9,275)? |
Higher: 3788 (74%) Lower: 1335 (26%) Total: 5123 |
| October 14–20, 2003 | Canada resumed creating jobs last month. Will it continue, or will the U.S. |
Canada will keep adding jobs1373 (53 %) We'll see more joblessness: 1199 (47%) Total: 2572 |
| October 7–13, 2003 | You've heard how scary this month can be. At the end of October, will the Dow be higher or lower than at the end of September (9,275)? |
Higher: 3788 (74%) Lower: 1335 (26%) Total: 5123 |
| September 30–October 6, 2003 | After indexes fell last week from mid-September highs, is the correction over? |
Yes, it's over: 1373 (32%) No, expect 5% off Dow: 1347 (32%) No, expect 10% off Dow: 1519 (36%) Total: 4239 |
| September 23–29, 2003 | As earnings season approaches, have tech-stock valuations overshot real profits? |
No, valuations are fair: 700 (24%) Yes, to some extent: 1119 (38%) Yes, prices are way too high: 1137 (38%) Total: 2956 |
| September 19–22, 2003 | Having resigned over his $140-million compensation, what should former NYSE chairman Richard Grasso do? |
Keep all the money: 962 (40%) Give some back: 638 (27%) Give all of it back: 793 (33%) Total: 2393 |
| September 16–18, 2003 | Should New York Stock Exchange chairman Dick Grasso resign, given the controversy over his multi-million-dollar pay package? |
Yes: 1902 (80%) No: 471 (20%) Total: 2373 |
| September 9– 15, 2003 | Have accounting irregularities at Atlas and Sun Gro undermined your confidence in income trusts? |
No, not at all: 794 (32%) Yes, somewhat: 1157 (47%) Yes, completely: 531 (21%) Total: 2487 |
| September 3–8, 2003 | With the base metals and mining sector now leading the S&P/TSX, has the easy money been made, or are further gains likely? |
It's over—time to sell: 489 (16%) Sector has almost peaked: 846 (28%) Further strong gains are likely: 1735 (56%) Total: 3426 |
| August 26–September 2, 2003 | Has the rally in tech stocks overshot the outlook for earnings growth? |
No, techs are still undervalued: 848 (25%) Yes, techs are already overvalued: 1819 (53%) No, techs are currently fairly valued: 759 (22%) Total: 3426 |
| August 19–25, 2003 | Given last week's blackout, what should be Ontario's No. 1 priority to ensure a reliable supply of electricity in future? |
Investing more in power generation and transmission: 2189 (55%) Encouraging consumers to use less electricity: 937 (23%) Privatizing Hydro One as originally planned: 624 (16%) Forcing consumers to use less by limiting supply predictably: 266 (6%) Total: 4016 |
| August 12–18, 2003 | Given the degree of recovery in the U.S., have gloomy Canadian economic forecasts for the second half been overdone? |
Yes, Canada will beat forecasts handily: 842 (28%) Possibly, to some extent: 1182 (39%) No, Canada's economy will slow sharply: 977 (33%) Total: 3001 |
| August 5–11, 2003 | Do earnings so far this season justify the second-quarter stock market rally? |
Yes, completely: 477 (22%) Only in some cases: 1021 (48%) No, not at all: 636 (30%) Total: 2134 |
| July 29-August 4, 2003 | For the remainder of 2003, do you expect prices of most Canadian income-trust units to |
Rise?: 1249 (31%) Fall?: 1090 (27%) Remain about the same?: 1657 (42%) Total: 3996 |
| July 22–28, 2003 | The second-quarter stock rally has |
Overestimated the outlook for earnings: 1331 (52%) Underestimated the outlook for earnings: 336 (13%) Accurately priced in the outlook for earnings: 883 (35%) Total: 2550 |
| July 15–21, 2003 | The recent boom in mergers and acquisitions represents |
Overconfidence in the economic recovery: 522 (22%) Shrewd bargain-hunting at a time of low interest rates: 1885 (78%) Total: 2407 |
| July 8–14, 2003 | Will corporate results in the earnings season now starting justify the recent run-up in share prices? |
Yes, completely: 616 (22%) Partly: 1317 (46%) No, not at all: 916 (32%) Total: 2849 |
| July 1–7, 2003 | How necessary are proposed new Canadian corporate-governance rules aimed at preventing U.S.-style accounting frauds? |
Very necessary: 2176 (83%) Moderately necessary: 303 (12%) Not necessary at all: 126 (5%) Total: 2605 |
| June 24–30, 2003 | Will the Bank of Canada cut interest rates later this summer or wait for a U.S. recovery to reignite the Canadian economy? |
Cut rates by 25 basis points: 2441 (49%) Cut rates by 50 basis points: 1230 (25%) Wait for U.S. recovery: 1285 (26%) Total: 4956 |
| June 17–23, 2003 | Has the Canadian dollar finished its climb for now, or will it continue to rise against the U.S. dollar? |
Rise further: 2309 (38.9%) Stay around 75 cents: 2317 (39.1%) Decline: 1300 (21.9%) Total: 5926 |
| June 10–16, 2003 | Will the current earnings 'pre-announcement' season |
Derail the stock market rally?: 910 (32%) Have little impact?: 1145 (40%) Spur fresh gain?: 783 (28%) Total: 2838 |
| June 2–9, 2003 | Do recent market gains convince you that a U.S. economic rebound will continue through 2003? |
Yes: 2305 (46%) No: 1785 (35%) Maybe: 970 (19%) Total: 5060 |
| May 20–26, 2003 | What will be the best-performing asset class during the second half of the year? |
Stocks: 2305 (53%) Income trusts: 1253 (29%) Government bonds: 341 (8%) Corporate bonds: 439 (10%) Total: 4338 |
| May 13–19, 2003 | Has the Canadian dollar climbed to a level where the Bank of Canada or federal government should consider intervening to protect our exporters? |
Yes: 1508 (27%) No: 4051 (73%) 4051 Total: 5559 |
| May 6–12, 2003 | With earnings season slowing down, what's your general impression of how companies have performed in their quarterly earnings reports so far? |
Better than expected: 1165 (47%) As expected: 994 (40%) Worse than expected: 326 (13%) Total: 2485 |
| April 29-May 5, 2003 | Now that U.S. regulators have punished brokerage houses for their biased stock ratings, to what extent has your faith in equity analysts been restored? |
To a great extent: 145 (3%) Somewhat: 1088 (23%) Not at all: 3493 (74%) Total: 4726 |
| April 22–28, 2003 | Has the potential impact of SARS on the Canadian economy been: |
Underestimated: 2040 (50%) Overestimated: 1366 (34%) Accurate: 643 (16%) Total: 4049 |
| April 15–21, 2003 | Given the outlook for global economic growth, have the Bank of Canada's rate decisions this year been: |
Too aggressive: 2067 (51%) Not aggressive: 254 (6%) Prudent: 1729 (43%) Total: 4050 |
| April 8–14, 2003 | Are recent North American stock-market gains—following Iraq war successes—justified by the economic outlook? |
Yes, completely: 557 (15%) To some extent: 1252 (33%) No, not at all: 1980 (52%) Total: 3789 |
| April 1–7, 2003 | Should the Canadian government offer financial assistance to Air Canada to help the airline avoid bankruptcy? |
No, not at all: 4874 (60%) Yes, but only if competing airlines get the same help: 1734 (22%) Yes, whatever is necessary: 1439 (18%) Total: 8047 |
| March 25–31, 2003 | How much longer do you expect the war in Iraq to last? |
One week: 258 (24%) One month: 1798 (29%) Two months: 1260 (20%) Three months: 2940 (47%) Total: 6256 |
| March 18–24, 2003 | Has the impending war in Iraq altered your investment strategy? |
Yes, a little: 1075 (24%) Yes, a lot: 836 (19%) No: 2545 (57%) Total: 4456 |
| March 11–17, 2003 | Some public companies have cut back on their quarterly forecasts of sales and earnings, saying they create unnecessary share-price volatility. How often should companies provide forecasts? |
Quarterly: 656 (38%) Half-yearly: 432 (25%) Annually: 344 (20%) Never: 283 (16%) Total: 1715 |
| March 4–10, 2003 | Was the surprise slowdown in Canadian fourth-quarter GDP an indication of even slower growth ahead? |
Yes: 2613 (74%) No: 905 (26%) Total: 3518 |
| February 25–March 3, 2003 | Will the Canadian dollar break through 70 U.S. cents this year? |
Yes: 3424 (62%) No: 2109 (38%) Total: 5533 |
| February 18–24, 2003 | Do you expect RRSP season to reverse the 10-month trend in net mutual-fund redemptions, or will investors continue to cash out? |
Net redemptions will stop: 1123 (30%) Net redemptions will continue: 2630 (70%) Total: 3753 |
| February 11–17, 2003 | Assuming the U.S. goes to war with Iraq, what will be the effect on North American equity markets?? |
Short-lived gains: 695 (14%) Longer-term gains: 976 (20%) Immediate declines: 2517(50%) Little change: 819 (16%) Total: 5007 |
| February 4–10, 2003 | Will President Bush's new tax cuts and spending plans be enough to revive the struggling U.S. economy? |
Yes: 983 (26%) No: 2855 (74%) Total: 3838 |
| January 28–February 3, 2003 | Fear of war with Iraq has sent gold prices to their highest in six years. If you were a gold investor, what would you do now? |
Buy gold stocks?: 3018 (51%) Short gold stocks?: 1216 (21%) Stay out of the market?: 1615 (28%) Total: 5849 |
| January 21–27, 2003 | Combined U.S. household, corporate, and government debt stands at a historic $31–trillion high. What effect will that have on that country's economy this year? |
Litte, if any: 1797 (39%) Recession: 1912 (42%) Depression: 863 (19%) Total: 4221 |
| January 14–20, 2003 | Will better profits this earnings season be enough to outweigh concern over Iraq and the U.S. economy? |
Yes: 1639 (39%) No: 2582 (61%) Total: 4221 |
| January 7–13, 2003 | North American auto sales set records last year. How strong will sales be in 2003? |
Higher: 303 (9%) About the same: 992 (28%) Lower: 2265 (63%) Total: 3560 |
| December 24, 2002–January 6, 2003 | Will the $1.4-billion settlement reached with U.S. brokerages over conflict-of interest charges be enough to restore investors' confidence? |
Yes: 432 (10%) No: 3683 (90%) Total: 4115 |
| December 17–23, 2002 | Given recent high-profile firings of CEOs, are companies being too hard on their executives? |
Yes: 193 (5%) No: 3876 (95%) Total: 4069 |
| December 10–16, 2002 | What is hurting the North American airline industry the most? |
Economy: 1571 (39%) Fuel costs: 209 (5%) Taxes and fees: 1493 (37%) Security measures: 785 (19%) Total: 4058 |
| December 3–9, 2002 | Will the boom in retail sales continue through the holiday season? |
Yes: 2511 (70%) No: 1056 (30%) Total: 3567 |
| November 25–December 2, 2002 | After a seven-week rally by the Dow, have shares overestimated the outlook for earnings? |
Yes: 2058 (50%) No: 2022 (50%) Total: 4080 |
| November 19–25, 2002 | Is Canada rushing into ratification of the Kyoto Protocol. |
Yes: 3985 (80%) No: 1027 (20%) Total: 5012 |
| November 12–18, 2002 | Will the Fed's latest half-point rate cut be enough to revive the U.S. economy? |
Yes: 1220 (36%) No: 2146 (64%) Total: 3366 |
| November 5–11, 2002 | Are more profit warnings from Canadian banks likely? |
Yes: 2756 (78%) No: 779 (22%) Total: 3535 |
| October 29–November 5, 2002 | Will the N.Y. Attorney General's campaign to reform Wall Street change anything? |
Yes: 944 (39%) No: 1482 (41%) Total: 2426 |
| October 22–28, 2002 | More companies are beating expectations than missing; does this signal the end of the bear market? |
Yes: 2666 (56%) No: 2125 (44%) Total: 4791 |
| October 15–21, 2002 | Will third-quarter earnings be strong enough to spark the stock market recovery? |
Yes: 2054 (54%) No: 1767 (46%) Total: 3821 |
| October 8–14, 2002 | Will tougher corporate governance standards help or hinder profit growth? |
Help: 1107 (80%) Hinder: 276 (20%) Total: 1383 |
| October 1–7, 2002 | Is the Kyoto Protocol unfair to Alberta industry? |
Yes: 166 (64%) No: 93 (36%) Total: 259 |
| September 24–30, 2002 | Are oil prices high enough to collapse the fragile U.S. economic recovery? |
Yes: 1318 (43%) No: 1756 (57%) Total: 3074 |
| September 17–23, 2002 | Will the sputtering U.S. economy derail Canada's economic growth? |
Yes: 2897 (74%) No: 1013 (26%) Total: 3910 |
| September 10–16, 2002 | What did more damage to financial markets, the attacks of Sept. 11 or corporate scandals? |
Sept. 11: 578 (10%) Scandal: 5222 (90%) Total: 5800 |
| September 4–9, 2002 | Is the Bank of Canada raising rates too much, too soon? |
Yes: 2489 (72%) No: 954 (28%) Total: 3064 |
| August 27–September 3, 2002 | Is the recent five–week stock rally justified by the outlook for earnings and economic growth? |
Yes: 1492
(45%) No: 1852 (55%) Total: 3344 |
| August 19–26, 2002 | Will higher Canadian interest rates be enough to support the loonie as the global economic recovery looks increasingly fragile? |
Yes: 870 (28%) No: 2194 (72%) Total: 3064 |
| August 13–18, 2002 | Will CEOs signing–off on their financial statements this week renew your confidence in the bottom line? |
Yes: 1466 (32%) No: 2239 (68%) Total:3705 |
| August 6–12, 2002 | Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its next meeting? |
Yes:
1773 (55%) No: 1441 (45%) Total: 3214 |
| July 29–August 6, 2002 | Is North American consumer confidence strong enough to prevent another slide into recession? |
Yes: 2145 (48%) No: 2305 (52%) Total:4450 |
| July 22–29, 2002 | Can prison terms and stiffer penalties for corporate wrongdoers revive faith in the stock market? |
Yes:
4467 (75%) No: 1492 (25%) Total: 5959 |
| July 15–21, 2002 | Are the recent declines the last gasp of the bear market, or is there worse ahead? |
Worse to come: 3436 (57%) Last Gasp: 2569 (43%) Total: 6005 |
| July 8–14, 2002 | Will better quarterly profits be enough to turn the market around? |
Yes: 1681 (46%) No: 1986 (54%) Total: 3667 |
| July 1–7, 2002 | Do you expect a large Canadian company to reveal a major accounting scandal in the months to come? |
Yes: 2642 (59%) No: 1835 (41%) Total: 4477 |
| June 24–30, 2002 | Is home–and–decorating guru Martha Stewart guilty of insider trading? |
Yes: 3971 (90%) No: 441 (10%) Total: 2683 |
| June 17–23, 2002 | Does the conviction of Andersen in the Enron case justify the demise of the 89–yr–old accounting firm? |
Yes:
2998 (73%) No: 1098 (27%) Total: 4096 |
| June 10–16, 2002 | Are current gold stock prices justified by the outlook for bullion? |
Yes: 1392 (52%) No: 1291 (48%) Total: 2683 |
| June 3–9, 2002 | Will Paul Martin's ouster have a long–term negative impact on Canadian financial markets and the dollar? |
Yes: 1724 (30%) No: 3983 (70%) Total: 5707 |
| May 27–June 2, 2002 | Which industry sector will be the top performer on the TSX this year? |
Financials: 672 (15%) Oil & Gas: 948 (21%) Gold producers: 1958 (42%) Tech & Telecom : 393 (9%) Base metals: 595 (13%) |
| May 12–26, 2002 | What should a CEO's compensation reflect more closely? |
Profit and revenue performance: 3613 (83%) Share price performance: 758 (17%) Total: 4371 |
| May 5–11, 2002 | Could rising U.S. unemployment derail the economic recovery in coming quarters? |
Yes: 2137 (63%) No: 1245 (37%) Total: 3382 |
| April 29–May 4, 2002 | Will this past earnings season mark the low point for Canadian and U.S. corporate results? |
Yes: 2391 (61%) No: 1558 (39%) Total: 3948 |
| April 22–28, 2002 | Will Nortel Networks survive the telecom downturn? |
Yes: 5687 (72%) No: 2179 (28%) Total: 7866 |
| April 15–21, 2002 | Do stock prices still overestimate the outlook for corporate earnings? |
Yes: 2804 (70%) No: 1202 (30%) Total: 4006 |
| April 8–14, 2002 | Could the booming job market and rising oil prices prompt the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates ahead of the Fed? |
Yes: 1673 (46%) No: 1945 (54%) Total: 3618 |
| April 1–7, 2002 | Could mounting tensions in the Middle East, and ongoing economic troubles elsewhere, derail a North American rebound? |
Yes: 3180 (64%) No: 1787 (36%) Total: 4976 |
| March 25–31, 2002 | Will the Bank of Canada begin to raise interest rates before the U.S. Federal Reserve? |
Yes: 1437 (36%) No: 2566 (64%) Total: 4003 |
| March 18–24, 2002 | When will the Bank of Canada begin to raise interest rates? |
Spring: 1053 (17%) Summer: 2499 (39%) Fall: 2092 (33%) Winter: 670 (11%) Total: 6314 |
| March 11–17, 2002 | After recent gains, is the stock market overestimating the strength of the economic recovery? |
Yes: 2823 (58%) No: 2051 (42%) Total: 4874 |
| March 4–10, 2002 | Will a rebound in the economy be lead by business spending, or consumer spending? |
Business: 1981 (55%) Consumer: 1651 (45%) Total: 3632 |
| February 24–March 3, 2002 | Do you believe the economy is improving? |
Yes: 4031 (69%) No: 1799 (31%) Total: 5830 |
| February 18–23, 2002 | In the midst of RRSP season, are the financial advisors at your bank acting in your best interest, or in the best interests of the bank's mutual funds business? |
Working on your behalf: 372 (10%) Working on the bank's behalf: 3588 (90%) Total: 3960 |
| February 11–17, 2002 | Do you spend more time researching the purchase of a car, or a compact disc, than you do a stock? |
Yes: 1414 (41%) No: 2013 (59%) Total: 3427 |
| February 4–10, 2002 | Is Canadian corporate disclosure adequate to protect shareholders from a domestic Enron–type meltdown? |
Yes: 592 (14%) No: 3717 (86%) Total: 4309 |
| January 28–February 3, 2002 | Should Canada and the U.S. adopt a single North American currency? |
Yes: 6743 (57%) No: 5145 (43%) Total: 11888 |